Methodology
Kilda evaluates emerging climate-related risks using a consistent analytical framework designed to surface risks that may not yet be reflected in market prices. Explore how we turn climate research into clear signals for investors.Ground rules
Forward-looking focus
The analysis targets climate-related risks that have not yet fully materialised. These are often the least visible in current valuations but may carry increasing weight as policies, technologies, and markets shift.
Evidence over false precision
Defensibility and transparency come first. We avoid overly complex modelling and anchor results in observable evidence.
Severity and likelihood
Each risk is scored on its own terms, but always across two dimensions: how large the impact could be and how likely it is to occur.
Simplicity for investors
Climate modelling gets technical fast. The aim is to turn complex analysis into signals investors can act on without specialised expertise.
Open data
All analyses use free, widely accessible datasets from recognised public institutions, research organisations, and international agencies.
Risk-specific methodologies
Each risk has its own methodology note covering research background, sources, modelling choices, scoring criteria, and worked examples. These notes are written to be transparent and reproducible while staying accessible to non-technical readers. Explore the methodology for each risk below.
